Log-normal distribution

If X is normally distributed then Y = e^X is log-normal: its logarithm is normal. Equivalently, if you multiply many independent positive random factors together, the product tends to a log-normal by the Central Limit Theorem applied on the log scale.

00.20.40.60.8101234567xdensity
Median = e^μ
1.000
Mean = e^(μ+σ²/2)
1.133
If ln X ~ Normal(μ, σ) then X is log-normal. Amber dashes: median. Rose dashes: mean. Large σ pulls the mean far above the median — the signature of right-skewed distributions.

What to notice

  • Increasing σ stretches the tail dramatically to the right while the mode moves left. The mean pulls far above the median.
  • Amber dashes mark the median , rose dashes the mean . The gap between them grows with σ — a diagnostic for skew.
  • The mode (peak of the density) sits at , lower still.

Why multiplicative processes produce log-normals

Additive processes → normal (Central Limit Theorem). Multiplicative processes → log-normal. Take logarithms: log(X₁ · X₂ · … · Xₙ) = log X₁ + log X₂ + … + log Xₙ, which is a sum. By CLT, this sum approaches normal, so the product approaches log-normal.

This is why log-normal distributions appear wherever quantities grow by percentage shocks: stock prices, income distributions, city populations, biological measurements like body weight, and pandemic spreading factors.

Mean vs median divergence

The mean is pulled right by rare extreme values — a property shared by all right-skewed distributions, but especially severe for the log-normal. Reported “average income” is almost always larger than “typical income” for this reason. The median is a more representative central value for log-normal data.